In Gujarat, AAP and AIMIM split minority votes of BJP positive components
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The Aam Aadmi Occasion (AAP) and the Asaduddin Owaisi-led AIMIM seem to fetch dented the Congress’s sway over votes of minorities in Gujarat in the Assembly polls, bringing down the most critical Opposition celebration’s vote margin severely in rather a few seats at some stage in the train.
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The Aam Aadmi Occasion (AAP) and the Asaduddin Owaisi-led AIMIM seem to fetch dented the Congress’s sway over votes of minorities in Gujarat in the Assembly polls, bringing down the most critical Opposition celebration’s vote margin severely in rather a few seats at some stage in the train.
The minorities, essentially Muslims, fetch been loyal voters of the Congress for the final several decades, in particular after the 2002 post-Godhra riots.
Assembly polls fetch been held on December 1 and 5, and votes fetch been counted on December 8.
Based entirely mostly on Congress sources, the Bharatiya Janata Occasion (BJP), on most times post the 2002 riots, has made electoral calculations keeping in thoughts consolidation of Hindu votes regardless of castes.
This resulted in the most critical Opposition celebration to make a choice up its minority votes, one of the most final parts of the Congress’s old technique of KHAM (Kshatriya, Harijan, Adivasi and Muslim) social engineering, which once historical to be its a hit plan in the train, they acknowledged.
Nonetheless, the entry of the AAP and the Hyderabad-headquartered All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) has no longer easiest panicked Congress’s minority vote financial institution nonetheless has moreover helped the ruling BJP, which did no longer discipline a single Muslim candidate in the elections, on the associated rate of the Congress.
Within the 2022 Assembly polls, feeble political parties fielded very few Muslim candidates in Gujarat, which has a 182-member Assembly. The Congress had fielded six Muslim candidates, while the Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP gave tickets to a few individuals of the minority community.
The AIMIM contested 13 Assembly seats and fielded Muslim nominees on 12 of them.
The AIMIM could need did not bewitch a single seat and the AAP could need won appropriate five, nonetheless they derailed the Congress’s potentialities and vote piece in quite loads of seats by splitting their feeble votes.
Within the minority dominated Dariapur seat, regarded as a Congress bastion, sitting Congress MLA Gyasuddin Shaikh lost to BJP’s Kaushik Jain by a margin of 5,243 votes. Shaikh polled 55,847 votes, whereas his nearest BJP rival bagged 61,090 ballots. The a hit contrast changed into made by AAP and AIMIM candidates, who polled 4,164 and 1,771 votes, respectively.
In Jamalpur-Khadia, the Congress’s Imran Khedawala got a third consecutive term, nonetheless with a reduced mandate of 58,487 votes, down from 75,000 in 2017. AIMIM’s train president Sabir Kabliwala bagged 15,677 votes and the AAP 5,887 in the constituency in Ahmedabad district.
Within the Bapunagar seat, sitting Congress MLA Himmatsinh Patel lost to BJP’s Dineshsinh Kushwaha by a margin of 12,070 votes. AAP and Samajwadi Occasion’s (SP) Muslim candidates made the variation in margin between the Congress and the BJP. The AAP and the SP polled 6,384 and 3,671 votes, respectively.
Within the Mangrol seat, two-time sitting Congress MLA Babubhai Vaja lost to BJP’s Kargatiya Lakhabhai by 22,501 votes. The AAP and the AIMIM polled 34,314 and 10,789 votes, respectively, thus contributing to the defeat of the big old celebration in the Assembly section in Junagadh district.
The Congress won the Muslim and Dalit-dominated Danilimda Assembly section in Ahmedabad, despite the AAP and the AIMIM cutting into its votes and the BJP inserting up a mighty battle. Sitting Congress MLA Shailesh Parmar won by defeating his nearest rival, BJP’s Nareshbhai Vyas, by a margin of 13,525 votes.
Parmar polled 68,906 votes as when in contrast to 55,381 ballots solid in favour of Vyas. AAP candidate Soma Kapadia polled 22,934 votes, while AIMIM’s Kaushika Parmar garnered 2,464. Though Parmar won, his victory margin changed into phenomenal decrease than in 2012 and 2017.
Within the Godhra seat, BJP’s C Sufficient Raulji defeated his Congress rival Rashmitaben Chauhan by 35,198 votes. Raulji bagged 96,223 votes, while Chauhan got 61,025. In 2017, the BJP’s victory margin changed into appropriate 358 votes.
Aam Aadmi Occasion’s Rajeshbhai Patel secured 11,827 votes, while the AIMIM’s Hasan Kachaba garnered 9,508 ballots, eating into Congress feeble votes in the communally soft Assembly seat of Godhra, where the burning of an explicit command had resulted in train-wide communal riots 20 years aid.
BJP MLA Sangita Patil registered a third straight bewitch in Surat’s Marathi and Muslim-dominated Limbayat constituency. She defeated her nearest rival, Aam Aadmi Occasion’s Pankaj Tayede, by a margin of 58,009 votes. The AAP elbowed out the Congress, the feeble most critical Opposition on this seat, to a far-off third situation.
Patil polled 95,696 votes as when in contrast to 37,687 votes in favour of Tayede. Congress candidate Gopalbhai Patil carried out third with 29,436, whereas the AIMIM changed into a far-off fourth with 5,216 votes.
The Vejalpur seat in Ahmedabad district, which contains sizable Muslim ghetto of Juhapura, has a 35 per cent vote piece of the minority community.
Based entirely mostly on political analysts, the vote casting sample in Muslim-dominated seats reveals minorities fetch shifted loyalties as the Congress has did not emerge as a replace to the BJP.
“The Congress’s restful marketing and marketing campaign changed into a total flop gift because it did not assign up an alternative, and appropriate be pleased any total voters, a sizable piece of minorities perceived to fetch switched to the AAP. The Congress lacked the momentum to your total election,” political analyst Hemant Shah acknowledged.
Echoing him, political analyst Dilip Gohil maintained the poll results suppose voters craving for an alternative fetch stumbled on the AAP as a alternative of the Congress.
“Be it minorities or the commoner, they fetch been procuring for an alternative, and they’ve stumbled on it in the AAP. The sphere for the Congress is they might even fetch secured the far-off 2nd situation, nonetheless they’ve lost the conception battle to the AAP. And this could expose politically lethal for the Congress as they’d rep it no longer easy to revive themselves,” he acknowledged. PTI PNT RSY VT VT
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